Tunnel vision and politics - Avoiding the 'must win' mindset

Fareed Zakaria asked: Will Trump Repeat a Tragic Mistake?

President Trump appears to view international negotiations like he did business deals: he must win, and the other side must lose, Fareed writes in his latest Washington Post column. But President Lyndon Johnson’s refusal to reverse course in Vietnam underscores the folly of such an approach.

“[B]ecause the president of the United States could not think of a way to admit that the United States needed to reverse course, Johnson increased troop levels in Vietnam from fewer than 20,000 to more than 500,000, tearing apart Indochina, American society and his presidency,” Fareed writes. “The example is dramatic, but it is generally true that in foreign policy, when the United States is confronted with a choice between backing down and doubling down, it follows the latter course.”

“In two crucial arenas, North Korea and Iran, Trump has dramatically raised the risks for the United States, and for no good reason. Determined to seem tougher than his predecessor, he has set out maximalist positions on both countries. He wants a totally denuclearized North Korea and an Iran that stops making ballistic missiles and stops supporting proxy forces in countries such as Syria, Iraq and Yemen. There is a vanishingly small possibility that North Korea and Iran will simply capitulate because Washington demands it. And if they don’t, what will Trump do? Will he back down or double down? And where will this escalation end?”

“Trump seems to view international negotiations as he does business deals. He has to win. But there is one big difference. In the international arena, the other person also has to worry about domestic politics. He or she cannot appear to lose either.”

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